Future

In the final minutes remaining, I suggest that we look into the future — not too far, since my crystal ball remains cloudy — just to the year 2100 AD. This might be called "World Changes During the New Century that Affect Allelopathy." My suggestion is based on world harmony.

The period that we are living in is characterized by anguish over population, energy, food, and agricultural concerns, environmental matters, and economic conditions. I predict that the global problems will finally force the nations of the world, developed and developing, east and west, north and south, to recognize the importance of global cooperation. This must be brought about so that it forcefully changes the people of the world. The Asiatic, Australian, Arabian, and African people are teaching Europeans and the American people. The result will be an intensive effort in international cooperation by increasing the output of food production and agriculture, forestry, energy, industry, medicine, trade, and raw materials production; all are subjected to a tight control minimizing environmental problems while maximizing the quality of life. Does allelopathy have a role in the 21st Century? It most certainly does!

Our agricultural productivity will have increased sixfold. We will have twice the land in cultivation that we now have and the land will be three times as productive as it is now. There will still be meat and fish consumers and vegetable consumers, much as we have today. According to a former director of the National Science Foundation, we will have giant international agri-industrial centers based on solar power, fusion power, and deuterium from sea water, and built primarily in the arid areas of the world. I would add aquaculture, such as Singapore has, which relies on importing foods from Malaysia and other Asiatic countries that have been grown utilizing an aqueous medium rather than soil. You cannot build these industrial plants without recognizing that a key component is allelopathy! These visionary processes will come about when the right combination of technology, capital, and international cooperation is available to put together these centers.

A world agricultural system will be made possible through close and careful international cooperation. This system will have solved the world food problems on an immense cooperative scale.

  1. A worldwide system of agricultural experimental research stations with affiliated agricultural extension services. These stations, working closely with weather and climate scientists, botanists, entomologists, experts in plant pathology, agronomists, agricultural engineers, horticulturists, foresters, animal scientists, biochemists, chemists, nutrition experts, and other individuals, will continually develop and improve new genetic strains of plants and animals to counteract natural changes. This means that allelochemicals are part of that integrated system. This system will have an enormous effect in reducing the huge losses of food previously destroyed to bad weather, plant diseases, insects, and rodents. Reductions in these losses, combined with higher yields made possible by better application of water and fertilizer, would allow the world to more than triple global agricultural production in less than 150 years. We would be able to compare old and new pieces of agricultural equipment, much of which was created especially for the developing nations, to be low-cost, labor-intensive, and designed for use on small but high-yielding, multiple-cropping farms. We would also see and perhaps be able to sample a variety of new foods.
  2. A similar research and extension arrangement would apply to marine and fresh-water food production. Through international cooperation we will have thoroughly researched and charted the characteristics of the oceans that control their productivity. Although allelopathy is only in its infancy with respect to marine and fresh-water, this is an important area in which we will see more research, development, and extension. Fishing in open international water will be carefully regulated. In some seas we will have experimented with anchored and ocean-bottom power stations to create regulated upwellings to stimulate fish productivity. In many areas of the world we have highly productive inland agriculture systems that give a relatively high yield of protein per acre.

A and B are themes that permeate the Constituion and By-laws of the International Allelopathy Society. I hope that we can see these themes brought together as they relate to allelopathy.

  1. We see displays of a system of international agricultural economic centers that would serve as the world's food banks. They are responsible for the regulation and exchange of food and agricultural commodities between nations, making certain that all countries are able to receive substantial nutrition in exchange for the nonfood agricultural commodities they could produce most efficiently on their type of land.
  2. We will still be using fossil fuels, oil, gas and coal, but their usage will be curtailed because there will have been a dramatic increase of harnessing of solar energy, wind energy, fusion and fission energy, and other sources. We propose that fusion reactors may become the usable energy source of choice, because of minimum problems of disposal and because of uses of the fissionable products (tritium). These are less of a security risk than fission products (which are plutonium and uranium).
  3. In health care we see a move over the last century and a quarter toward preventive and diagnostic medicine and comprehensive health care. With the help of extremely sensitive and accurate medical practice, pharmacology, biochemistry, and electronic and computer systems every individual's health is analyzed periodically from birth. Every family and person is counseled as to the best health regimen to follow based on tests and background. We have settled the problems of national values and controls of genetic matters and other new scientific and medical procedures related to human life. This required years of scientific investigation, ethical deliberation, and new legislation which affects all countries.
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